A Nuclear Iran...Good For the Iranian People?

I have an opinion and to say it isn't a popular one is quite an understatement: When I look at the possibility (some say probability) of Iran obtaining nuclear weapons, I honestly don't see much of a threat to the western world; I do see it, however, as a benefit to the security of the Iranian nation and people.

If Iran was to develop nuclear capability what would she do with it?

Israel and her American right-wing allies in the government and media have been scaring the American public with visions of the mullahs in Tehran selling one of these weapons to al-Qaeda or the like. Those familiar with the IRI and its apparatchiks, however, know fully well that this is quite unlikely. The mullahs sitting in Tehran might be many things, but they aren't foolish or insane.

The real powerbrokers of the Islamic Republic of Iran would never give or sell nuclear weapons or technology to al Qaeda or most other terrorist Islamist groups because such groups are overwhelmingly Sunni and ultimately hostile to the Shi'a IRI. The mullahs and ayatollahs are crafty and shrewd, why would they put themselves or their interests in jeopardy? They and their lackeys also are quite financally invested in Europe and Canada. These folks love their wealth. Furthermore, if the US and others are so concerned about Islamic terrorists getting nuclear technology why don't they look at China, which sells its nuke technology to the highest bidder? However, the best of all places to look is over in the direction of Pakistan (which got most of its nuclear technology from China). A Sunni-dominated state that not only harbors terrorists, but also has agents and supporters of these people in the high echelons of its government and military, Pakistan is ruled by a shaky and widely unpopular government that is in danger of collapsing into the arms of the bearded and turbaned ones. In my opinion, if the United States or Europe are ever attacked by a terrorist nuke it will have originated in Pakistan.

This leads me to also consider the situation for the Iranian nation:

-To the north of Iran sits the Russian Federation, historically a big bully and always looking towards the south for territories and resources.
-To the northeast is China. Defacto ally of Pakistan.
-East of Iran sits good ol' Pakistan, a champion of Sunni orthodoxy and home to many Baluchis who yearn to "liberate" and be reunited with their cousins who live within Iran.
-Most importantly of all is that off to the west lies Israel, ever paranoid and prone to pre-emptive strikes.

All these nations mentioned have nuclear arsenals. All are potential enemies of the Iranian nation. All of them can strike at her with conventional forces, reassured by the nuke card they all hold and which Iran doesn't.
This is the major point: Iran is the only regional power without the security of nuclear deterrence! Pakistan can invade her borders tomorrow. Israel can make an air strike at her at any time. Meanwhile Russia could move through Kazakhstan or through the Caucasus, foer whatever reason they like. All of them comfortable in the knowledge that they have the proverbial "Bomb."

If Iran gets nuclear technology it will be security for the Iranian people. As for the chance of an Iranian nuke ever being launched towards London or Paris, let alone New York, the idea is so farfetched as to be ludicrous. Even if Iran was to go nuclear, she still would be decades away from long-range, intercontinental delivery. China herself has had the Bomb since 1964, to this day she has yet to perfect her ICBM capability. Of all America's allies only Israel would stand in proximity to an Iranian nuclear attack. It is over Israel, that's what all this fear and loathing of an Iranian nuke menace is about.

I sincerely welcome any criticisms or rebuttals to my opinion.

Caesar M. Warrington