Justice for All
The Motto of the Theology State in Iran
The Motto of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI), it is better to be feared than to be loved. The IRI is using Iron Fist by utilizing Machiavelli doctrine of Fear, Fraud and Force to rule Iran.
Think Independently, and freely because you are a free person.
Think Independently, and freely because you are a free person.
Monday, April 29, 2013
Thursday, April 18, 2013
The Pandora Box of Islamic Republic of Iran's Nuclear Program
The Pandora Box of Islamic Republic of Iran's Nuclear Program
The
Pandora Box of nuclear program of Islamic Republic of Iran is “a
highly controversial issue in international politics since the August
2002 unveiling of the secrecy builds uranium enrichment facility in
Natanz and the heavy-water production plant in Arak. American
officials and expert assert that Iran has secret plans to use its
nuclear capabilities to develop nuclear weapons. Iranian officials,
however, deny such allegations and claim that they will use their
capabilities exclusively for peaceful purposes.”i
Iran's
nuclear program dated back to 1957, when former US President Dwight
Eisenhower, during Cold War period, provided nuclear aid to the
Pahlavi Regime to build nuclear programs.ii
It was part of Atoms for Peace Program.iii
In 1974, King (Shah) Mohammad Reza PAHLAVI announced to have 23
nuclear power plants, and it would be operational by 1994 to generate
23, 000 megawatts of electricity from nuclear power stations.iv
In 1979, Iran's political system shifted from a secular state and
pro-western to a theocracy state. Current regime in Iran poses a
threat to the West's safety and security. The US and other Western
nations canceled their contracts with Iran and did not fulfill their
agreements.v
After revolution, France base consortium Eurodif was interested to
build Iran's nuclear stations.vi
However, the US convinced the Eurodif to cancel its contract with the
Islamic Republic of Iran.vii
It was during Iran-Iraq War, the regime in Iran came to release that
it needed to possess weapon of mass destruction to defeat Iraqi
forces.viii
Elements of the regime began to contact Russia to build
nuclear facilities in Iran, and it was halted due to Russia political
instability.ix
The regime in Iran used other sources to build its nuclear
facilities.x
On
August 14th, 2002 the National Council of Resistance of
Iran or MEK appeared before the US Representative and disclosed
secret dossier to the US Representative that the regime in Iran was
building clandestine nuclear facilities in Natanz, Arak, and Parchin
with intention of obtaining nuclear weapons.xi
Consequently, the regime in Iran was in direct violation of Article
II of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).xii
The US requested the files at the Boards of Governors of the IAEA to
be transferred to the United Nations Security Council.xiii
On October 31st, 2003 the IAEA asked the regime in Iran to
sign a protocol that it Safeguard Agreement, and would be transparent
about its nuclear programs.xiv
On August 01st, 2005, the regime in Iran renegade from its
obligation and removed the seals “on the process lines at the
facility.”xv
The regime in Iran has contributed to inherit insecurity of
international relations and caused the Middle East nations as well as
the US interests to be at state of alert for their safety. The aim of
this paper is to give a brief background about how people of Iran
began to move toward nuclear program, discussing the reason for the
regime in Iran for not having nuclear program, and examining the
nature of the regime in Iran.
This
portion of the paper is giving a brief background about how people of
Iran began to move toward nuclear program. The nuclear program in
Iran goes back to time of Pahlavi Dynasty which was a pro-American
regime. It was during Cold-War era that the US decided to provide
economic, military and technology fields to the regime in Iran.xvi
In 1955, the US began to negotiate nuclear terms with Iran and in
1957 the US and Iran signed the Agreement for Cooperation Civil Uses
of Atoms.xvii
In May 1972, former US President Richard Nixon visited Iran, and the
Monarchy regime in Iran was able to pursue Mr. Nixon to include Iran
in “Nixon Doctrine”.xviii
It means that Iran would become regional power and would have strong
presence in the Persian Gulf.xix
Plus, Iran would receive more military strength to deter former
Soviet Union from invading Iran.xx
In 1973, Arab-Israel War broke out and oil price became skyrocket.xxi
It provided a golden opportunity for the regime in Iran to have
strong purchase power to buy nuclear powers in Iran. In March 1974,
the Monarchy regime announced it was planning to build 23, 000 MW(e)
of nuclear power capacity.xxii
In May 1974, the Chairman of the US Atomic Energy Commission talked
with Iranian officials and proposed for multinational uranium
enrichment.xxiii
The officials in Iran accepted the above offer of the US. On March
03rd, 1975, the US signed a $15 billion contract for the
construction of eight nuclear reactors.xxiv
On April 12th, 1977, the US signed an agreement with Iran
to exchange nuclear technology and cooperate in nuclear safety.xxv
On January 01st, 1978, former US President Jimmy Carter
granted Iran “most favored nation” status for spent fuel
processing.xxvi
“On July 10th, 1978 in Tehran the US-Iran Nuclear Energy
Agreement was signed; this agreement was to facilitate cooperation in
the field of nuclear energy and to govern the export and transfer of
equipment and material to Iran.”xxvii
Furthermore, France and Germany were also major players in shaping
Iran's nuclear program.xxviii
France and German trained Iranian professionals in field of nuclear
programs.xxix
In 1976, Germany and Iran reached an agreement for six nuclear power
reactors.xxx
The
nuclear programs in Iran came to halt after 1979 Revolution. The
theocracy regime in Iran began to pursue policy of self-reliance and
rejecting all Western policies that they were signed by the previous
regime.xxxi
It was during Iran and Iraq War that the regime in Iran reached to a
final conclusion that it needed to possess bigger gun to defeat its
enemy. In this case, the bigger gun was the nuclear weapon. In 1984,
the regime in Iran talked with Chinese to assist the regime in Iran
to develop “Esfahan Nuclear Research Center”.xxxii
In 1991, China announced that it would supply Iran with a 20 MW
research reactor from China.xxxiii
In September 1992, former Iranian president Hashemi Rafsanjani
reached a tentative agreement with Chinese President Jiang Zemin to
purchase one or two 330 MW (e) reactors.xxxiv
Furthermore, the regime was seeking other sources to build Iran’s
nuclear programs. In 1987, the regime in Iran signed a nuclear
cooperation with Pakistan to train 39 Iranian nuclear scientists.xxxv
In May 1987, Iran signed an agreement with Argentina for amount of
$5.5 million to supply Iran with uranium enriched to 20%.xxxvi
However, the above agreement did not follow through as it was
expected.xxxvii
The last source for the regime in Iran to build its nuclear power was
Russia. Former President Rafsanjani talked with former Russian
president Gorbachev about completion of Busher power plant.xxxviii
Russia claimed that it would complete the nuclear program within six
years. On January 08th, 1995, Russia and Iran signed an
agreement to build nuclear power plants in Busher as well as 10 to 20
graduate students at cost of $1 billion.xxxix
Russia failed to deliver its promise due to collapsed of communism in
Russia. Despite all challenges that the regime in Iran face, it did
not stop its ambition to posses’ nuclear powers.
This
portion of the paper is discussing the reason for the regime in Iran
cannot acquire nuclear program. The rogue state in Iran is
contributing to chaotic climate of international relations. This body
of this essay is divided on two sections. The first section explains
why the regime in Iran has right to have nuclear power, and last
stage is covering the nuclear saga development of the regime in Iran
which is the reason for the regime for not having nuclear power. It
is also true that “objective of all states are to remain free from
coercive measures to maintain their sovereignty.”xl
Particularly, the political climate of Middle East is realism,
and scholar like Kenneth Waltz argues that nature of international
relation is in state of anarchy and puts states into a condition of
self-help.xli
The above theory of self-help motivates states to pursue unilateral
competitive measures to protect their interest against other
nations.xlii
The regime in Iran has all the rights to pursue nuclear programs and
feeling secure about its sovereignty. Particularly, George Bush
speeches for regime change in Iran and the regime in Iran was added
part of “Axis of Evil”. The US poses serious threat to the
sovereignty of Islamic Republic of Iran. The US's foreign policy of
regime change motives the regime in Iran to seek venues to build its
army in order to survive military strike as it happened in
Afghanistan and Iraq. Furthermore, in the realist political
environment, Mr. Waltz argues that states have two options to gain
power and capable of defending themselves. The first is external
balancing by forcing alliances with other states which is allowing
states to share their resources with one another. Last option would
be internal balancing to build itself within by developing a vibrant
economy system in order to improve quality of its army.xliii
There is also an issue of population that a state would acquire power
by increasing its population.xliv
The regime in Iran is facing economic sanction which goes back to
2006.xlv
There is one clause in the UN which is hurting Iran’s economy, it
is “a prohibition on making available to any person in Iran any
property, financial assistance or investment, related to the supply,
sale, transfer, manufacture or use of any of the products subject to
the export ban.”xlvi
In year 2011, the inflation rate was 20.6% and in year 2012 the
inflation rate was 23.6%.xlvii
In year 2011, the unemployment rate in Iran was 15.3% and in year
2012 the unemployment rate was 15.5%xlviii
from population of 79 million as of 2012.xlix
The
regime in Iran claims that it has support of people to build its
nuclear programs like Dr. Saeed Khatipzadeh from Iranian Journal of
International Affairs expressed his view on the nuclear programs in
Iran. He associated the nuclear program of Iran with Iranian national
pride and prestige.l
Iranian technocrats define their situation in three terms. The regime
in Iran sees itself in light of being victimized by the Western
powers during Iran and Iraq War.li
Two, the nuclear program defines Iran as a nation.lii
Last, there is a mind set that Iran is a big country and a leading
country; it needs to set an example to other nations.liii
Dr.
Nasser Saghafi-Ameri brought two issues on surface with regard to
nuclear program in Iran. One, it was after end of the Cold-War era,
nuclear weapons proliferation became legitimized by treaty like NPT.liv
Last, Dr. Saghafi-Ameri alleged that “the US has hidden 480 nuclear
weapons in six European nations as well as Turkey.lv
Dr.
Nasser Hadian claimed that Iranians are divided on nature of having
nuclear programs. The first group is consisted of 2 to 3% of
population that Iran does not need nuclear program due to
environmental reason.lvi
The second group support nuclear programs for Iran with intention of
being used for civilian purpose. lvii
The third group would like Iran to have knowledge of building nuclear
bombs. However, it would not have nuclear bombs.lviii
The last group would be the hardliners that this group would like
Iran to withdraw from NPT and build its nuclear bombs.lix
The hardliners like cleric Mesbah-Yazdi steadfast supporter of
president Ahmadinejad calls for obliteration of Israel and the US.lx
Dr.
Kayhan Barzegar claims that 90% of Iranian population favor of
nuclear power, and taking a step backward from nuclear projects, it
would be economic loss and it would hurt Iran's science.lxi
This
portion of the paper is explaining why the regime in Iran cannot
acquire nuclear power. The regime in Iran is facing insecurity
dilemma which is due to nature of international relation that it is
in state of anarchy and future becomes uncertain that how nations are
aligning their foreign policies. There is a perceived concept that if
a state is seeking security to defend itself against aggression of
another nation.lxii
There is a second possibility in realm of insecurity that there is an
insecure state due to not knowing about motives of other states, it
creates a window of Pandora Box.lxiii
Recently, the Obama administration has decided to distance itself
from policy of regime change for Iran, and it is exploring option of
containment for Iran.lxiv
Vic president Joseph Biden claimed on the record that the US would
not allow the regime in Iran to acquire nuclear weapons. However, Mr.
Biden off the record has another approach toward nuclear Iran, it is
an idea of coexistence with nuclear Iran.lxv
Historian Bernard Lewis and Michael Ledeen encourage the US not to
engage in preemptive military strike on nuclear facilities of Iran.lxvi
It would not push backward Iran's nuclear programs.lxvii
Plus, the US military strike on full scale against the regime in
Iran, it would bring Iranian masses together to confront the US
invasion of Iran.lxviii
Those
individuals are advocating containment policy for the regime Iran's
nuclear program. It is assumed that by allowing the regime in Iran to
have nuclear capability, it would allow the regime in Iran to improve
its relation with Saudi Arabia, and more favorable conditions for an
Israeli-Palestinian accord.lxix
This policy of containment provides a window of opportunity for the
regime in Iran become predictable as long as it is following within
guideline of protocol.lxx
In addition, the regime in Iran would have first hand experience that
the nuclear arsenal is more of insurance policy than a military
capability.lxxi
There is a counter argument to the above theory that the containment
policy worked for Russia, but it may not be working for the regime in
Iran. The US did not have regime change policy for Russia; the US
does have regime change policy for the regime in Iran.lxxii
The former Soviet Union used ideology as an instrument to oppose
capitalism. In case of Iran, the establishment manipulates a public
emotion which is enabling the establishment in Iran to recruit
martyrs.lxxiii
Therefore, the policy of containment may not be successful.
There
is one case scenario for the regime in Iran that it may want to
engage in arms control, and unilateral restraint. The idea behind
arms control is to reduce or limit the number of destructive forces
that the parties accumulated throughout times.lxxiv
It would provide a comfort zone for both parties to gain each others
trust and working on security with one another.lxxv
The unilateral restraint is limiting the size of deploying forces
that it has direct impact on losing an arm race.lxxvi
The
alternative option of containment is military strikes on the regime
in Iran. There is a reason to be cautious to launch military strikes
on the nuclear facilities in Iran. If “the US should attack Iran
and attempt to eliminate its nuclear facilities, proponents of a
strike have argued that the only thing worse than military action
against Iran would be an Iran armed with nuclear weapons. Critic,
meanwhile, have warned that such a raid would likely fail and, even
if it succeed, would spark a full-fledged war and a global economic
crisis. They have urged the United States to rely on nonmilitary
options, such as diplomacy, sanctions, and covert operations, to
prevent Iran from acquiring a bomb. Fearing the costs of a bombing
campaign, most critics maintain that if these other tactics fail to
impede Tehran's progress, the United States should simply learn to
live with a nuclear Iran.”lxxvii
However, there is another reality shining behind mushroom clouds, if
the regime in Iran acquires nuclear weapons. The idea of coexisting
with nuclear Iran is out of question.lxxviii
The nuclear armed Iran would pose a threat to the US interests in the
Middle East and beyond.lxxix
Kroenig Mathew argues that international pressure to curb Iran's
nuclear program was fruitless.lxxx
The Stuxnet computer warm attacked the Iranian nuclear facilities and
caused temporary disruption in Tehran's enrichment effort.lxxxi
The regime in Iran is facing sanction and it is not deter to
give-up on its goal to posses nuclear capability.lxxxii
There is alleged evidence that the regime in Iran is developing
nuclear bombs.lxxxiii
The Institute for Science and International Security claims that the
regime in Iran is capable of acquiring nuclear bombs.lxxxiv
There is wisdom that the regime in Iran is relocating its nuclear
facilities in a new location which is secure from any possible
military strike on the nuclear facilities.lxxxv
It is expected the regime in Iran to expel IAEA from Iran so that the
regime in Iran can enrich uranium to weapon-grade levels of 90%.lxxxvi
The problem appears that if the regime in Iran acquires the nuclear
bombs, it creates insecurity in the region for the US.lxxxvii
The US no longer would be able to play a dominate role in the Middle
East.lxxxviii
The Saudi Arabia may pursue policy of acquiring nuclear capability,
and triggers geopolitics rivals.lxxxix
Moreover, the regime in Iran may transfer nuclear knowledge to the
undesirable entities that they share same sentiment as the regime in
Iran has and these entities would wage war against the US and its
interests in the Middle East.xc
Kroenig Mathew argues that current situation cannot be weighed in
same circumstance as it was during Cold-War era. At the time of
Cold-War, Russia and the US had clear lines of communication; they
waged their wars by means of proxies, and managed their nuclear
arsenals.xci
Mathew argues that the regime in Iran would use its nuclear arsenal
against Israel.xcii
Consequently, the Israel would retaliate against the regime in Iran.xciii
In addition, Mathew explore the theory of containment for Iran that
it would require the US to deploy massive naval in the Persian Gulf,
monitoring Iran's activity to ensure the regime in Iran is not
transferring nuclear knowledge to terrorist entities, assisting
allied nations with developing nuclear capability, and Israel would
have submarines to launch missiles at Iran.xciv
The bottom line, “the United States would need to make a
substantial investment of political and military capital to the
Middle East in the midst of an economic crisis and at a time when it
is attempting to shift its force out of the region. Deterrence would
come with enormous economic and geopolitical costs and would have to
remain in place as long as Iran remained hostile to US interests,
which could mean decades or longer.”xcv
Kroenig Mathew states that a military strike on the nuclear
facilities in Iran requires savvy thinking and not a quick military
action.xcvi
The regime in Iran had secret nuclear stations in Natanz and Qom.xcvii
It is possible for the regime in Iran to have other undisclosed
nuclear facilities.xcviii
It is advisable to take precaution that the regime has hidden
nuclear facilities.xcix
The regime in Iran has spread its nuclear facilities around Iran and
is not concentrated in one area.c
All these nuclear facilities are constructed underground, and it
would be difficult to destroy these underground nuclear facilities
with air strikes.ci
These nuclear facilities are located by civilian areas, and air
strikes would lead to collateral damages.cii
There are other nuclear facilities that they are vulnerable to air
strikes in city of Tehran, Arak, Esfehan, and Natanz.ciii
The US has 30,000-pound “Massive Ordance Penetrator” which is
capable of penetrating 200 feet of reinforcement concert.civ
It is an ideal for Qom's nuclear facility which is build into
mountain.cv
However, the facility is not operational at this time.cvi
There
are consequences of attacking the regime in Iran. There is one
possibility which has not been mentioned by other researchers.
Kroenig Mathew claims that a military strike on the regime in Iran,
it may encourage China and Russia to halt their economic trades with
the US and take side with the regime in Iran.cvii
Plus, there were three important issues that Mathew brought to light.
One, this war would be long lasting and it would damage the US image
in the Muslim world.cviii
Two, the regime in Iran would block the Strait of Hormuz, which is a
narrow point in the Persian Gulf, to prevent 20% of oil supply for
world to be used.cix
Last, the Arab Spring may not reach to Iran.cx
Kroenig Mathew states that the military options should be intended to
destroy the nuclear facilities in Iran and not destroying the
military and not causing unrest in Iran so the regime in Iran would
collapse.cxi
The
regime in Iran is posing threat to global insecurity is base on fact
and it is not base on false information. The IAEA has confirmed the
regime in Iran possess heavy water reactors.cxii
These heavy water reactors are designed to enrich uranium for nuclear
weapon purpose. The designs and original components for which Iran
illicitly acquired via the A.Q. Khan proliferation network. On the
basis of IAEA verification up to October 2010, and Iranian estimates
since then, it is calculated that some 4, 105 kg of LEU has now
produced at the FEP.”cxiii
The regime in Iran does not have “civil rationale for this
enrichment work. The Bushehr NPP, constructed with Russian
assistance, uses Russian fuel.”cxiv
The regime in Iran is planning to to build another NPP at Darkovin.cxv
“The lack of a plausible civil rationale for the production of LEU,
and the fact that the current stockpile is more than sufficient to
produce two nuclear weapons, if further enriched to around 90
percent, is a major concern.”cxvi
In addition, the regime in Iran commenced to feed UF6 into pilot fuel
enrichment plant (PFEP) at Natanz in February 2010 for the 'stated
purpose of producing UF6enriched up to 20% U-235 for use in the
manufacture of fuel for the Tehran Research Reactor (TRR), which is
used to produced medical isotopes and the fuel for which has been
previously supplied from abroad.”cxvii
In September 2009, the regime in Iran sent a letter to the IAEA, and
informed the IAEA that it was building a new Fordow Fuel Enrichment
Plant,cxviii
and it was “the production of UF6 enriched up to 5% U-235, with 3,
000 centrifuges envisioned in 16 cascades.”cxix
There are serious concerning issue with regard to nuclear
proliferation of the regime in Iran. These defacto evidences
prove that the regime in Iran is pursuing nuclear bombs. First, the
regime in Iran works on uranium metal.cxx
The regime in Iran knows how to convert UF6 into uranium metal and
machine metal enriched uranium metal into hemispheres.cxxi
The regime in Iran has knowledge of producing uranium metal from
fluoride compounds, cxxii
and “its manufactures into components relevant to a nuclear
device.”cxxiii
The IAEA has confirmed that the regime in Iran “works of direct
relevance to the detonation and testing of a nuclear weapon,
including the test of 'at least one full scale hemispherical,
converging, explosively driven shock system that could be applicable
to an implosion – type nuclear device.”cxxiv
Third, the regime in Iran is working on “missile re – entry
vehicles. Iran has allegedly conducted engineering work on a new
payload chamber for a new re – entry vehicle for its Shahab – 3
missiles.”cxxv
Fourth, the regime in Iran is working on uranium tetra fluoride
(UF4).cxxvi
The IAEA confirms that the regime is working on converting uranium
dioxide into UF4.cxxvii
There is Project 5/13 which is indicating it is in connection with
other projects; such as, re – entry vehicle.cxxviii
Last, there is an issue of connection between military and the
nuclear program.cxxix
There are suspicious circumstances which make to believe that the
regime in Iran is using its nuclear facilities for military reason.cxxx
In
September 2012, Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu appeared
at the United Nations General Assembly and claimed that the regime in
Iran would cross threshold of nuclear proliferation to produce
nuclear bombs by 2013. It appears that there is an accuracy report
about uranium enrichment of the regime in Iran. “The IAEA
concluded in August that Iran had more than ninety kilograms of
twenty-percent enriched uranium, and was producing fifteen kilos of
the same each month (you need two hundred and twenty – five kilos,
give or take, to produce twenty – five kilos of high – enriched
uranium – enough for one bomb). As more centrifuges are being
installed, the red line Netanyahu drew on his cartoon will be reached
by spring or summer 2013.”cxxxi
The
IAEA is an international body which is monitoring nuclear activities
around the world.cxxxii
Today, Britain, China, France, Russia, and the US are possessing
nuclear weapons, and ratified Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
that the above nations would provide nuclear assistance to no nuclear
weapon states base on nonmilitary applications.cxxxiii
In the long run, the above nations would not possess any kind of
nuclear weapons.cxxxiv
The
regime in Iran would not give-up on its goal to develop nuclear
bombs. “The Libyan experience demonstrated that collective pressure
and sanctions can help induce a state violating its NPT obligations
to alter its policies so as to come into compliance. Unfortunately,
the Libyan case has been a rare success and, given Qaddafi's current
fate, unlikely to repeat.”cxxxv
There
is social constructive school of thought that it deems “anarchy is
not given feature of the international system; it is an idea that
states buy into, and, because they buy into it and understand the
world as 'anarchy', they act accordingly.”cxxxvi
It appears in this case that the regime in Iran is looking at the
world in chaotic terms and not in peaceful terms. The regime in Iran
is working with terrorist entities to deter Western powers from
waging military strike on its nuclear facilities in Iran. There was
one incident in Burgas, Bulgaria that a suspected suicide bomber
killed six Israeli tourists.cxxxvii
It is also true that the US is sharing political culture with the
European nations and it is falling under concept of intersubjective
it means that “ideas and concepts that are shared and held in
common, and from these we can understand action and behavior.”cxxxviii
However, China does not share political culture with the West,
and it has nuclear bombs. China does not threatening to committee
genocide against any ethnic groups or wiping a nation from the map.
This
portion of the paper is examining the nature of the regime in Iran.
The regime in Iran was installed by the US, France, and England
because King (Shah) Mohammad Reza PAHLAVI did not want to sell crude
oil below market value. Former US President Jimmy Carter besmirched
the Pahlavi Regime for human rights violation, France provided
shelter for Khomeini to remain secure from any kind of harm, and
England provided BBC as a medium for Khomeini to foment revolution in
Iran with promise of a free ride society for everyone. As Machiavelli
says people change their master easily in promise of better life
which was the case in 1979 revolution of Iran. The regime changed in
Iran. Amazingly, the revolution of Iran had been foretold by
Aristotle, who defines democracy as a form of corrupt system that
people would take property recklessly for their own self-interest,
and accumulate wealth and power with no regard for the peace and
stability of a nation as a whole.cxxxix
Demagogue would convince public that their democracy is in a grave
danger from a real or an imaginary enemy.cxl
This enemy can be domestic or foreign.cxli
This demagogue would represent himself to others as friend and savior
of people.cxlii
“This war serves to distract the people, preventing them from
paying attention to what the demagogue – turned – tyrant is doing
domestically, including undermining the constitution, making his
conies and hangers – on wealth at public expense, and expanding his
powers into areas that were previously constitutionally off –
limits.”cxliii
This leader begins to foster black-holes by not allowing public
become educated about affairs of their nations.cxliv
This leader begins to sow dissensions and creates quarrels over real
or imaginary issues.cxlv
The tyrant begins to implicate as many people in his crimes so that
they too are guilty.cxlvi
This tyrant maintains a pleasant appearance to public and pretends to
be guardian of the public treasure as this tyrant plunders wealth of
the nations.cxlvii
Most of all, he pretends to be a man of God.cxlviii
The above view of Aristotle defines how the regime in Iran came to
power and how it is holding on power in Iran.
The
regime in Iran does not have consent of people to rule because it is
not base on consent of people. The election system is fraud, it is a
system that there is only one political party to choose from.cxlix
There are political parties that they are chosen by head of state Ali
Khamenie and these political parties are supporting vision of the
state and not diversity of ideas in Iran. As a result, the political
system of the regime in Iran is illegitimate, and does not represent
will and consent of Iranians. It is a system which is representing
authority of the state. The regime in Iran is a weak state that it
is facing internal threat because there is no transition of power
from one segment of the society to another segment of the society.cl
The power is monopolized in hands of power elite in Iran. The
regime in Iran does not have state strength for three reasons. (1)
there is no proper “infrastructural capacity in terms of the
ability of the state institutions to perform essential tasks and
enact policy; (2) coercive capacity in terms of the state's ability
and willingness to employ force against challenges to its authority;
and (3) national identity and social cohesion in terms of the degree
to which the population identifies with nation state and accepts its
legitimate role in their lives.”cli
The regime in Iran does not have institutions in terms that exist in
the West. The institutions in Iran are subject to corruption, and
rules are not will of people because the rules are formulated by
elite individuals which are reflecting their interests.
All in
all, this paper gives a brief background about how people of Iran
began to move toward nuclear program, discussing the reason for the
regime in Iran cannot posses nuclear program, and examining the
nature of the regime in Iran. It was in 1957, which was during
Cold-War era, the US decided to provide nuclear knowledge to the
Pahlavi Regime as an instrument to deter Russia from invading Iran.
It also brought the US and Iran relation closer. In 1979, the Islamic
Republic of Iran was established, and the US and Iran relation came
to an end. In 1980, Iraq invaded Iran, and Iran could not defend
itself against Iraq’s invasion. It took several years to push back
Iraqi forces from Iranian territories. It was during this time that
the regime began to realize that it would be an ideal to acquire
weapon of mass destruction. The regime in Iran began to seek
different venues to rebuild Iran's nuclear power. The regime in Iran
did not disclose its documents to the IAEA that it was building
nuclear powers. The MEK which is a militant dissident group and has
branches in Iran and outside of Iran, it informed the US
Representative about secret locations of the nuclear power stations
in Iran. The IAEA also confirmed that the regime in Iran was pursuing
nuclear bombs. The regime in Iran is a rogue state which is seeking
regional power by wiping Israel from the map, and is posing threat to
sovereignty of Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and other nations in the Middle
East as well as the US interests around the world and it is
contributing to insecurity dilemma. The US is interested to use
preemptive military strikes at the nuclear facilities in Iran.
However, there is a problem with military strike at the nuclear
facilities in Iran. The regime in Iran would retaliate against the US
and the US interests around the world. The last option is containing
Iran. It would not be possible to contain Iran because it is not
playing with same role as the Russian did during Cold-War period. The
regime in Iran is spearheaded to acquire nuclear weapons not to gain
prestige among nations, but it has a goal to dominate its supremacy
in the region. The Obama administration thought of co-existing with
nuclear Iran. However, it would not be possible due to weak economy
of the US. It would cost the US billion of dollars to maintain strong
presence in the Middle East. There is only one option left on the
table which is to overthrow the regime in Iran not by means of
military strike, but Iranians overthrow the regime in Iran, and form
their own state, Republic of Monarchy, and to have different
political parties which serves their interests and form governments
which are representing their wills, and bring back peace and security
to the region.
iMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
iiArms
Control Org Hossein Mousavian. July/August 2012
<http://www.armscontrol.org/2012_07-08/The_Iranian_Nuclear_Dispute_Origins_and_Current_Options>
01 April 2013
iiiArms
Control Org Hossein Mousavian. July/August 2012
<http://www.armscontrol.org/2012_07-08/The_Iranian_Nuclear_Dispute_Origins_and_Current_Options>
01 April 2013
ivArms
Control Org Hossein Mousavian. July/August 2012
<http://www.armscontrol.org/2012_07-08/The_Iranian_Nuclear_Dispute_Origins_and_Current_Options>
01 April 2013
vArms
Control Org Hossein Mousavian. July/August 2012
<http://www.armscontrol.org/2012_07-08/The_Iranian_Nuclear_Dispute_Origins_and_Current_Options>
01 April 2013
viArms
Control Org Hossein Mousavian. July/August 2012
<http://www.armscontrol.org/2012_07-08/The_Iranian_Nuclear_Dispute_Origins_and_Current_Options>
01 April 2013
viiArms
Control Org Hossein Mousavian. July/August 2012
<http://www.armscontrol.org/2012_07-08/The_Iranian_Nuclear_Dispute_Origins_and_Current_Options>
01 April 2013
viiiArms
Control Org Hossein Mousavian. July/August 2012
<http://www.armscontrol.org/2012_07-08/The_Iranian_Nuclear_Dispute_Origins_and_Current_Options>
01 April 2013
ixMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xiiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xivMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xvMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xviMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xviiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xviiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xixMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxiiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxivMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxvMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxviMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxviiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxviiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxixMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxiiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxivMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxvMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxviMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxviiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxviiiMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xxxixMiddle
East Journal. Mustafa Kibaroglu. 15 April 2006
<http://ehis.ebscohost.com.proxy.ufv.ca:2048/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&sid=fff148a6-6928-4424-8185-1b265d77e24d%40sessionmgr198&hid=7>
01 April 2013
xlAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies (Second
Edition). New York: Oxford University Press, 2010. PG 16
xliAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies (Second
Edition). New York: Oxford University Press, 2010. PG 20
xliiAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies (Second
Edition). New York: Oxford University Press, 2010. PG 20
xliiiAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies(Second
Edition). New York: Oxford University Press, 2010. PG 21
xlivAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies(Second
Edition). New York: Oxford University Press, 2010. PG 21
xlvForeign
Affairs and International Trade Canada
<http://www.international.gc.ca/sanctions/iran.aspx?view=d>
02 April 2013
xlviForeign
Affairs and International Trade Canada
<http://www.international.gc.ca/sanctions/iran.aspx?view=d>
02 April 2013
xlviiIndex
Mundi
<http://www.indexmundi.com/iran/inflation_rate_%28consumer_prices%29.html>
02 April 2013
xlviiiIndex
Mundi <http://www.indexmundi.com/iran/unemployment_rate.html>
02 April 2013
xlixIndex
Mundi <http://www.indexmundi.com/iran/population.html>
02 April 2013
lMiddle
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01 April 2013
liMiddle
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liiMiddle
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01 April 2013
liiiMiddle
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01 April 2013
livMiddle
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lvMiddle
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lviMiddle
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lviiMiddle
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lviiiMiddle
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lixMiddle
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lxCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
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lxiiAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies (Second
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lxiiiAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies (Second
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lxivCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxvCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxviCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxviiCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxviiiCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxixCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxxCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxxiCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxxiiCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxxiiiCover
story By: Stephens, Bret. Commentary, July/August 2010, Vol. 130
Issue 1, p61-70, 10p
lxxivAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies (Second
Edition). New York: Oxford University Press, 2010. PG 25
lxxvAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies (Second
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lxxviAlan,
Collins. Contemporary Security Studies (Second
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